{"id":3359,"date":"2021-02-25T01:55:00","date_gmt":"2021-02-25T06:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/?p=3359"},"modified":"2021-02-23T08:07:49","modified_gmt":"2021-02-23T13:07:49","slug":"we-know-more-now-so","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/2021\/02\/we-know-more-now-so\/","title":{"rendered":"We Know More Now, So&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">by Dwayne Phillips<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The pandemic has its own phrase for the use of bad or junk science and poor thought and communication.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s in the &#8220;news&#8221; almost everyday now. I feel it came about from the pandemic, but there are other excuses we can use. It is that phrase in the title,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>We know more now.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Well, of course we know more now. We are a day older and we probably learned something yesterday that we didn&#8217;t know the day before yesterday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We told the world definitively a few months ago that, &#8220;This is the way it is. This is what we are doing.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Recently, &#8220;We know more now, so forget what we told you a few months ago and abide by what we are telling you today.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A few examples that illustrate the folly:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The Kansas City Chiefs are the best team in football. We know more now, so&#8230;<\/li><li>I told a hundred persons that I would be faithful to my wife till death do us part. I know more now so&#8230;<\/li><li>I told the judge I would tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth. I know more now, so&#8230;<\/li><li>We convicted so-and-so of murder before we had any DNA science. We know more now, so&#8230;<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The reason we go with &#8220;we know more now, so&#8230;&#8221; is that we didn&#8217;t think it through a few months ago. We didn&#8217;t choose our words. We didn&#8217;t communicate what we knew and what we didn&#8217;t know and what new evidence might change our recommendations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In other words, we were lazy and a bit dishonest on top of laziness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Professional professors used to say things like, &#8220;Given the evidence to date, here are our conclusions and recommendations. Our knowledge is limited in the following areas. If we learn such-and-such, that will change our recommendations. We will search in those areas and advise others to do the same and listen for changes in evidence. We have x% confidence in our current conclusions, so abide by our recommendations understanding that percentage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gosh. That&#8217;s a lot of work. Let&#8217;s just tell folks to wash their hands all day (NOT).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Dwayne Phillips The pandemic has its own phrase for the use of bad or junk science and poor thought and communication. It&#8217;s in the &#8220;news&#8221; almost everyday now. I feel it came about from the pandemic, but there are other excuses we can use. It is that phrase in the title, We know more [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32,335,109,50],"tags":[154,336,223,172],"class_list":["post-3359","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-communication","category-ethics","category-science","category-thinking","tag-communication","tag-ethics","tag-science","tag-thinking"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3359","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3359"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3359\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3360,"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3359\/revisions\/3360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dwaynephillips.net\/workingup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}