by Dwayne Phillips Experts are far more productive than the average. But if we eliminate the average, how will anyone become an expert? Expert managers can manage 10 times the work of the average manager. Expert fill-in-the-blank can do 10 times the work of the average fill-in-the-blank. But how will the expert become an expert […]
Entries Tagged as 'Judgment'
But How will that Person Learn?
February 18th, 2019 · No Comments
Tags: Competence · Judgment · Knowledge · Learning
The Judgment of the (expert?) Judgers
February 7th, 2019 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips The expertise of the expert judgers is never in question. That is because they are usually wrong. Nevertheless, they never stop judging. Microsoft recently announced that they are ending support for the Microsoft Windows Phone operating system. The what? Does anyone remember that? Does any one have one of those phones that […]
Tags: Judgment
AI and Jobs
January 24th, 2019 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips AI, as we have it today, is a software tool. Like all software tools, it should aid persons in their jobs, not replace persons. We have all these artificial intelligence programs everywhere. At least some persons claim such. What we have are software tools. The software can find some images that maybe […]
Tags: Help · Jobs · Judgment · Systems
A Tale of Two Facebooks
December 27th, 2018 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips Success can lead to failure. Sometimes great success can lead to great failure. See, e.g., Facebook. There must be two social media companies out there named “Facebook.” There is this social media site called Facebook that many of my friends and relatives use. They show photos of the kids and the new […]
Tags: Adults · Failure · Judgment · Success
Fake News, Real News, and not News
February 1st, 2018 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips Sometimes we forget some of the fundamentals of “news.” Fake news: this is the stuff we used read in the grocery store checkout counter in The National Enquirer. My mother never let me buy one, but they had great headlines about then first lady Hillary Clinton having an alien baby and other […]
Performers, Predictors, and Punishment
February 23rd, 2015 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips When a performer doesn’t perform as predicted, the predictor is in the wrong. Too bad that we usually fail to recognize that. I write this the week after all the big tech companies posted their quarterly financial reports. Some companies didn’t perform as expected, i.e., as predicted. The result was that the […]
Tags: Competence · Estimation · Expectations · Judgment
Watching Competence Evaporate
August 4th, 2014 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips Competence evaporates when we are upset. There are some things we can do to work our way back to competence, but they are not easy. I recently watched a group of otherwise competent people behave in a most incompetent manner. They had an excellent excuse as they were under great emotional stress. […]
Tags: Breathe · Competence · Health · Judgment
The Veto in Restuarants and Government Offices
November 11th, 2013 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips A veto is where one person can say NO, and that over rules a multitude of YESs. Look around and notice the prevalence of the veto. I was in a fast food restaurant early on a recent Saturday morning (old people like me tend to do those things). Three teens were sitting […]
Tags: Government · Judgment · Management · People
The Driver’s License and Alcohol
March 4th, 2013 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips It seems odd that to purchase alcohol a person must show they have a license to operate a motor vehicle. There are things in society that seem odd to me. One is the relationship we have established between obtaining alcohol and having a license to operate a motor vehicle. If you want […]
Tags: Culture · General Systems Thinking · Health · Judgment · Logic
The Flip-A-Coin Technique
March 5th, 2012 · No Comments
by Dwayne Phillips Binary decisions – choose either A or B, nothing else – can be difficult. Tossing a coin, but not looking at it, is a useful technique. I learned this technique a few years ago at a conference. You are confronted with a decision with two choices: A or B. You are uncertain […]