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Moore’s Law for AI

April 13th, 2026 · No Comments

by Dwayne Phillips

AI capabilities are increasing fast. Too fast for some of us. What do we call this?

This past week, Anthropic showed people what Mythos could do. WOW! That is amazing. Why only a few months ago… Where were we way back then? And, by the way, how do you pronounce Mythos?

There was this thing called the Claude Bot or Clawed Bot or some clever spelling. Why that was the revolution people wanted. Does anyone remember it? That was in November of last year. Uh, does anyone remember that far back?

I bought a book recently on AI Agents. It’s a good book. Well researched and written and … hopelessly outdated. Unless you write a book in a week and have it on the shelves a day later, it is outdated when the topic is AI. What a shame.

This is all moving fast. That is a gross understatement.

Remember Moore’s law? It described how the density of processors on a chip would double every 18 months. I propose such a law for AI capability. We could call it Moore’s law for AI. I like the idea of calling it Phillips’ Law:

The capability of AI systems doubles every month or sooner in some cases.

Phillips’ Law doesn’t have the ring to it that Moore’s law does. And there is that awkward placement of the apostrophe when your name ends with an “s.” So be it, let’s see if anyone else adopts the title of the law let alone pays attention to the content. This is my little attempt.

Tags: Artificial Intelligence · Change · Chaos · Computing · Time

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